
Economics, as a branch of the more general theory of human action, deals with all human action, i.e., with mans purposive aiming at the attainment of ends chosen, whatever these ends may be.--Ludwig von Mises
Wednesday, February 29, 2012
2011 4th Quarter GDP: 3.0%

Friday, January 27, 2012
4th Quarter 2011: 2.8% Growth
This is the first of three estimates for the period and marks the best growth rate in a year-and-a-half following a reading of 1.8 percent in the third quarter. But, don’t be surprised if the most recent data is revised lower since downward revisions have been the norm in recent quarters, the third quarter data starting out at a similar level – a 2.5 percent rate – when it was initially reported.source
Thursday, October 27, 2011
GDP 3rd Quarter 2011: 2.5%
Friday, August 26, 2011
2nd Quarter GDP: 1.0%
Slow Growth Continues
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of the nation's economic health, rose at an annual rate of 1% in the second quarter, the Commerce Department said.
Monday, August 1, 2011
Saturday, July 30, 2011
GDP 2nd Quarter 2011: 1.3%

In the “advance” estimate for the second quarter, the Commerce Department reported that real economic growth in the U.S. increased at an annual rate of 1.3 percent, far below consensus estimates of a two percent rate, and, as part of the annual data revisions, growth in the first quarter was revised downward, from a 1.8 percent rate to just 0.4 percent.
source
Great Recession: The "Recovery" Continues

According to the Bureau of
At the worst point, real GDP was off 5.1% from the 2007 peak. Since the most common definition of a depression is a 10%+ decline in real GDP, the 2007 recession was not a depression. Note: There is no formal definition of a depression. Some people use other definitions such as the duration below the previous peak. By that definition, using both GDP and employment, this seems like the "Lesser depression", but not by the common definition.
source
Monday, July 25, 2011
2nd Quarter GDP Estimates

This graph shows the quarterly GDP growth (at an annual rate) for the last 30 years.
The consensus is that real GDP increased 1.8% annualized in Q2. The estimate for Q2 is in blue.
Back-to-back weak quarters and a sluggish and choppy recovery ...
source
Monday, July 4, 2011
GDP Growth


The obvious connection, as I’ve pointed out on many occasions, is that America is becoming a European-style welfare state and it is unavoidable that we will suffer from European-style economic malaise.
P.S. It should be noted that America’s anemic economic performance in recent years is not solely Obama’s fault. As the White House repeatedly points out, he inherited a downturn. That is completely accurate. My complaint, however, is that Obama promised hope and change but instead has exacerbated the big government policies of his predecessor.
Friday, April 29, 2011
2011 1st Quarter GDP: 1.8%
Friday, March 25, 2011
Q4 GDP Growth Revised from 2.8% to 3.1%
The Commerce Department reported that, in the third and final estimate for the fourth quarter of 2010, the U.S. economy grew at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.1 percent, up from the prior estimate of 2.8 percent.The upward revision was due mostly to higher business investment and a smaller inventory build.GDP Growth Rates
On an annual basis, real GDP grew by 2.9% in 2010, the highest annual gain since a 3.05% increase in 2005, according to today's BEA report. In dollars, real GDP in 2010 was $13.248 trillion, which set a new annual record for U.S. output, surpassing the $13.228 trillion levels in 2007 and 2008. source
Real Gross Domestic Income Still Below Pre-Recession Peak

Wednesday, March 2, 2011
Sunday, February 27, 2011
Monday, February 7, 2011
According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), real GDP is now slightly above the pre-recession peak. Real GDP (in 2005 dollars) was at $13,382.6 billion in Q4, just 0.14% above the $13,363.5 billion in Q4 2007.
However industrial production is still 5.8% below the pre-recession peak, and it will probably be some time before industrial production returns to pre-recession levels.
Payroll employment is still 5.6% below the pre-recession peak. And even with slightly above trend GDP growth in 2011, payroll employment growth will probably only recover slowly. Payroll employment is still 7.7 million below the pre-recession peak, and if the the U.S. adds 2.5 million payroll jobs per year over the next 3 years (my current forecast is 2.4 million private sector jobs this year), it would take 3+ years to return to the pre-recession peak. And that doesn't include population growth!Sunday, January 30, 2011
Real GDP Now Above Pre-Recession Level
"U.S. economic output finally regained the level reached before the recession, as growth sped up on stronger consumer spending and exports (see chart above). source








